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Podcast update

Take a listen to this week's update.

Podcast – FAA and Merger Mania

The Merger Mania podcast was done with Ted Reed, airline reporter at TheStreet.com.

The FAA and feeling lucky podcast was done with Rob Mark at Jetwhine.com.

Review of 2Q07 US carrier financials

Podcast with T2impact.com's Timothy O'Neil-Dunne.

Lufthansa in talks to buy Iberia

Europe's airlines are starting to consolidate. Lufthansa has started discussions on a possible move to buy 'all or part' of Spanish airline Iberia, French daily La Tribune reports. But Iberia has denied the report according to Dow Jones. We think La Tribune got it right. Yesterday, ATW reported Lufthansa Group's preliminary full-year financial results and said it expects full-year earnings attributable to shareholders to soar nearly 77% to $1.05b. That helps a lot.

Without citing sources, La Tribune says Lufthansa had opened discussions — but not negotiations — on a possible move to buy a "key stake" in Iberia, which is currently 10% owned by British Airways. Such a move could create an airline that would carry 100m passengers yearly, compared to 70m carried by Air France-KLM.

This news must thrill Alitalia because it almost certainly means that Air France/KLM will snatch them from oblivion. Iberia's finance director already raised the possibility of a tie-up with Lufthansa or Air France-KLM in a newspaper interview last November. We don't think this wave of consolidation makes Olympic a runner though.

Lufthansa in talks to buy Iberia

Europe's airlines are starting to consolidate. Lufthansa has started discussions on a possible move to buy 'all or part' of Spanish airline Iberia, French daily La Tribune reports. But Iberia has denied the report according to Dow Jones. We think La Tribune got it right. Yesterday, ATW reported Lufthansa Group's preliminary full-year financial results and said it expects full-year earnings attributable to shareholders to soar nearly 77% to $1.05b. That helps a lot.

Without citing sources, La Tribune says Lufthansa had opened discussions — but not negotiations — on a possible move to buy a "key stake" in Iberia, which is currently 10% owned by British Airways. Such a move could create an airline that would carry 100m passengers yearly, compared to 70m carried by Air France-KLM.

This news must thrill Alitalia because it almost certainly means that Air France/KLM will snatch them from oblivion. Iberia's finance director already raised the possibility of a tie-up with Lufthansa or Air France-KLM in a newspaper interview last November. We don't think this wave of consolidation makes Olympic a runner though.

Long haul LCCs

This week's Economist magazine has a good story on long haul LCCs. The correctly point out that Sir Freddie laker was the pioneer of this business. But they forgot People Express.

Their premise is the long haul LCC will not work and is no threat:

  • Passengers enduring a 12-hour flight are less willing to skimp on food and legroom.
  • Setting up a long-haul network also takes tiresome negotiations with aviation authorities in many countries.
  • Most long-haul routes still rely on connecting traffic to fill seats, whereas low-cost airlines offer point-to-point routes.

These are good points. But the economics of the industry has changed since Freddie Laker's days. For a start LCCs forced massive increases in efficiency among legacy carriers. Note that long haul LCCs such as Hong Kong's Oasis is focused on point to point traffic and therefore is not concerned with hubs. Further, we have suggested that Oasis will connect its Hong Kong-Oakland flight with JetBlue's US system, giving it the reach of any network carrier. Similarly, on the East Coast, JetBlue is doing this exact move with Aer Lingus.

By connecting LCC networks, LCCs avoid the big hurdles they face. They do not have to scrimp on service or space – they will simply charge for it more effectively (see Ryanair). They do not have to worry about "aviation authorities" as much because the world is moving to open skies wherever you look (yes, even the EC & US will get there).

Moreover, the first batch of long haul LCCs have gone for the legacy airlines sweetest spot, the business traveler. Over the North Atlantic, you can now choose from three between the US and UK and one from the US to France. Fragmenting markets is an LCC specialty. Having started this and gaining traction, they will continue to do so. There will be failures, but LCCs will persist because they are run by people whose vision is correct. Airline travel is an old, mature and often poorly run industry.

By breaking all sorts of "rules" that legacy carriers created and still live with (i.e. labor rules that are an anachronism) LCCs are more nimble and consequently more efficient. The Economist ends its piece with these words "For bigger carriers, the new entrants are not yet much of a threat. The most profitable business-class travellers will be loth to give up either frequent-flyer miles or the convenience of a full timetable." Not much of a threat? The "big" carriers have already learned to ignore LCCs at their peril. The "big" carriers are frantically trying to slim their waists because they see the fragmenting market and know they will have a much smaller role ahead unless they re-engineer their costs and business.

Long haul LCCs

This week's Economist magazine has a good story on long haul LCCs. The correctly point out that Sir Freddie laker was the pioneer of this business. But they forgot People Express.

Their premise is the long haul LCC will not work and is no threat:

  • Passengers enduring a 12-hour flight are less willing to skimp on food and legroom.
  • Setting up a long-haul network also takes tiresome negotiations with aviation authorities in many countries.
  • Most long-haul routes still rely on connecting traffic to fill seats, whereas low-cost airlines offer point-to-point routes.

These are good points. But the economics of the industry has changed since Freddie Laker's days. For a start LCCs forced massive increases in efficiency among legacy carriers. Note that long haul LCCs such as Hong Kong's Oasis is focused on point to point traffic and therefore is not concerned with hubs. Further, we have suggested that Oasis will connect its Hong Kong-Oakland flight with JetBlue's US system, giving it the reach of any network carrier. Similarly, on the East Coast, JetBlue is doing this exact move with Aer Lingus.

By connecting LCC networks, LCCs avoid the big hurdles they face. They do not have to scrimp on service or space – they will simply charge for it more effectively (see Ryanair). They do not have to worry about "aviation authorities" as much because the world is moving to open skies wherever you look (yes, even the EC & US will get there).

Moreover, the first batch of long haul LCCs have gone for the legacy airlines sweetest spot, the business traveler. Over the North Atlantic, you can now choose from three between the US and UK and one from the US to France. Fragmenting markets is an LCC specialty. Having started this and gaining traction, they will continue to do so. There will be failures, but LCCs will persist because they are run by people whose vision is correct. Airline travel is an old, mature and often poorly run industry.

By breaking all sorts of "rules" that legacy carriers created and still live with (i.e. labor rules that are an anachronism) LCCs are more nimble and consequently more efficient. The Economist ends its piece with these words "For bigger carriers, the new entrants are not yet much of a threat. The most profitable business-class travellers will be loth to give up either frequent-flyer miles or the convenience of a full timetable." Not much of a threat? The "big" carriers have already learned to ignore LCCs at their peril. The "big" carriers are frantically trying to slim their waists because they see the fragmenting market and know they will have a much smaller role ahead unless they re-engineer their costs and business.

ExpressJet gets a rude wakeup

American Airlines and American Eagle Airlines Increase, Upgrade Service in Raleigh/Durham – Beginning May 1, 2007, American Eagle will operate two daily nonstop flights each to Louisville, Ky.; Jacksonville, Fla.; and Kansas City, Mo., using 37-seat and 44-seat Embraer jets. In addition, on April 10, American will add one daily nonstop flight from Raleigh/Durham to New York La Guardia using an MD80 aircraft, with American Eagle keeping eight flights between the two airports. Also, American will operate MD80 aircraft to replace American Eagle on the Raleigh/Durham to Austin, Texas, route.

Some of these markets that didn't have service before and now have more service than they really need. I guess we see why ExpressJet was afraid to go into any markets that remotely resembled hubs. This is a retaliatory strike by American and ExpressJet must know that this won’t be the only shot they’ll have to absorb.

Paris Tyler

ExpressJet gets a rude wakeup

American Airlines and American Eagle Airlines Increase, Upgrade Service in Raleigh/Durham – Beginning May 1, 2007, American Eagle will operate two daily nonstop flights each to Louisville, Ky.; Jacksonville, Fla.; and Kansas City, Mo., using 37-seat and 44-seat Embraer jets. In addition, on April 10, American will add one daily nonstop flight from Raleigh/Durham to New York La Guardia using an MD80 aircraft, with American Eagle keeping eight flights between the two airports. Also, American will operate MD80 aircraft to replace American Eagle on the Raleigh/Durham to Austin, Texas, route.

Some of these markets that didn't have service before and now have more service than they really need. I guess we see why ExpressJet was afraid to go into any markets that remotely resembled hubs. This is a retaliatory strike by American and ExpressJet must know that this won’t be the only shot they’ll have to absorb.

Paris Tyler

Three must have travel tools

As a blog devoted to the sweet spot at the nexus of travel and technology, we get to talk with fascinating people about fascinating ideas. From these conversations sometimes there is a moment of serendipity. Today we had such a moment.

It occurs to us that there are three tools that every traveler should have. Using these tools, in our opinion, makes travel much less bothersome – indeed these three tools make dealing with the inevitable delays and frustrations much easier.

  • Farecompare.com – First you buy a ticket. But where to find an objective source? Try this site because they don't sell tickets. They can tell you about airfares better than just about anyone. With useful charts to give you perspective, you can make an informed decision. Regular readers know how useful the folks are at Farecompare with their updates on this site when fares go up and down. We recommend you start there.
  • Flightstats.com – Next, once you made your reservation, you want to ensure you know where you are every step of the way. This site is the best to keep you informed. Their data shows that 23% of flights in the US run late – more than one of your next five will be late. This means mis- connections and frustrations for everyone – from the traveler to the people you plan to meet. This site offers tools that track flights and have better (yes really better) data than anyone. How much better? How about a major airport uses their data for its public displays because Flightstats tracks flights better than the airlines operating out of said airport? They have a bunch of tools you can down load on to your cell phone and desktop or laptop. Go there, do it now, before you do your next trip.
  • Jott.com – OK, so you bought the ticket at the best price and you have yourself all set with tracking. Now you're running and things happen. They always don't they? Because you signed up at Jott every time something comes to mind that you can't write down you call Jott's 800 number and simply speak your message. Any message. Their system transcribes this into a message that is sent as an email to the person you want notified – even yourself if you want a reminder. Imagine that!

OK so now you know what you have to do in the next 30 minutes. Hook up with these sites and create accounts. These systems are FREE. Yes, how cool is that? We can't guarantee your next trip will be hassle free. But with these tools we bet the hassles will be MUCH easier to handle. Who says you can't travel armed?