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BA and TPG go for Iberia

Story link here. With deep pockets, TPG can supply the capital to enable BA to go up to its 30% stake to which it in entitled. That locks out Lufthansa. Provided the team has a Spanish face, its landing rights will not be challenged.

SAS tries to sell its bmi stake

bmi stock is a hot commodity right now. The airline's slots at Heathrow have shot up in value. Scandinavian Airlines has been touting its 20% stake in bmi this week, trying to find a buyer among other airlines or private equity. An obvious buyer is Lufthansa, the other major stakeholder than Sir Michael Bishop, the CEO.

There is a lot of jockeying going on right now among Europe's airlines. Reports are that Lufthansa is sniffing around Alitalia. Texas Pacific is also looking there, as well as at Iberia. The three main players (and alliances) likely to be left standing after an consolidation will include British Airways (a stakeholder in Iberia already), Air France/KLM and Lufthansa. The question will be which of the others will be aligned with which of these three.

SAS' stake in bmi is a great first card to play. SAS is in the Star Alliance, making it a friend of Lufthansa. So a deal between them on bmi is likely. It could be that SAS goes public on its bmi stake sale to make sure it gets the highest price – friendship only goes so far, after all.

SAS tries to sell its bmi stake

bmi stock is a hot commodity right now. The airline's slots at Heathrow have shot up in value. Scandinavian Airlines has been touting its 20% stake in bmi this week, trying to find a buyer among other airlines or private equity. An obvious buyer is Lufthansa, the other major stakeholder than Sir Michael Bishop, the CEO.

There is a lot of jockeying going on right now among Europe's airlines. Reports are that Lufthansa is sniffing around Alitalia. Texas Pacific is also looking there, as well as at Iberia. The three main players (and alliances) likely to be left standing after an consolidation will include British Airways (a stakeholder in Iberia already), Air France/KLM and Lufthansa. The question will be which of the others will be aligned with which of these three.

SAS' stake in bmi is a great first card to play. SAS is in the Star Alliance, making it a friend of Lufthansa. So a deal between them on bmi is likely. It could be that SAS goes public on its bmi stake sale to make sure it gets the highest price – friendship only goes so far, after all.

British Airways ponders Fortress Heathrow

British Airways is mulling a £1 billion bid for low-cost rival bmi, reports in the Times and The Telegraph said.

The chairman of bmi, Michael Bishop, a 50% shareholder (the other owner is essentially Lufthansa), is thought to have received a number of approaches from airlines looking to buy his stake. Although he has so far refused to sell, the Times said potential bidders believe he will offload his stake later this year.

BA is believed to have raised the issue with him already and is monitoring the situation closely with a view to bidding if his stake is put up for sale, the newspaper said. In a separate report, the Times said that the Texas Pacific Group is considering a E4B bid for Iberia — a move that could force BA to launch a rival offer.

It would appear that BA has really not been as clever as people would have thought. The tactics and strategies discussed here should have been in place some time ago. With Open Skies now a (delayed) reality, BA's reaction has been slow. One might have thought they would have been ready with deals in place. Buying bmi and increasing its stake in Iberia while buying a new long haul fleet has to be keeping BA managers up nights. Happily, bmi is involved with Lufthansa and the latter appears to have Iberia in its sights. Could some sort of accommodation be reached? BA people refer to Lufthansa as Luftwaffe. The Germans no doubt have a nickname for BA also. Cooperation seems unlikely.

But if BA were to weigh up its Iberia stake against bmi, we think bmi gets the nod. Could BA do a deal with Lufthansa where Iberia goes to the Germans and bmi becomes a part of BA? Such a move gives BA just over 50% of Heathrow's slots, which would be very useful right now.

Happily for Michael Bishop, Virgin Atlantic is also making eyes at him. Things have never looked better for Mr. Bishop. It may be a great time to retire.

More on this slot business at T2Impact.com – link.

British Airways ponders Fortress Heathrow

British Airways is mulling a £1 billion bid for low-cost rival bmi, reports in the Times and The Telegraph said.

The chairman of bmi, Michael Bishop, a 50% shareholder (the other owner is essentially Lufthansa), is thought to have received a number of approaches from airlines looking to buy his stake. Although he has so far refused to sell, the Times said potential bidders believe he will offload his stake later this year.

BA is believed to have raised the issue with him already and is monitoring the situation closely with a view to bidding if his stake is put up for sale, the newspaper said. In a separate report, the Times said that the Texas Pacific Group is considering a E4B bid for Iberia — a move that could force BA to launch a rival offer.

It would appear that BA has really not been as clever as people would have thought. The tactics and strategies discussed here should have been in place some time ago. With Open Skies now a (delayed) reality, BA's reaction has been slow. One might have thought they would have been ready with deals in place. Buying bmi and increasing its stake in Iberia while buying a new long haul fleet has to be keeping BA managers up nights. Happily, bmi is involved with Lufthansa and the latter appears to have Iberia in its sights. Could some sort of accommodation be reached? BA people refer to Lufthansa as Luftwaffe. The Germans no doubt have a nickname for BA also. Cooperation seems unlikely.

But if BA were to weigh up its Iberia stake against bmi, we think bmi gets the nod. Could BA do a deal with Lufthansa where Iberia goes to the Germans and bmi becomes a part of BA? Such a move gives BA just over 50% of Heathrow's slots, which would be very useful right now.

Happily for Michael Bishop, Virgin Atlantic is also making eyes at him. Things have never looked better for Mr. Bishop. It may be a great time to retire.

More on this slot business at T2Impact.com – link.

Airbus' captive customers in play? That's too bad.

As we enter the nasty phase of Airbus' adjustment process, one needs to look beyond the strikes which will start before the weekend. All the noise in the streets of France and Germany will detract from what is really important – customer perception. Airbus has many loyal customers that are going to watch the TV news with great feelings of discomfort.

If the news last year was rough, it may be getting rougher going forward. Whereas the news last year was essentially mea culpas the coming news will be of frustrated workers who managed to keep quiet up to now. Every worker on the street means one less working on Airbus' valuable backlog. Readers should recall how the images of striking Boeing workers looked but a few years ago. It was a horrible time for Boeing and as bad for its customers.

A good example of a "captive" Airbus customer is Iberia. Last December Bloomberg said the airline, a loyal Airbus customer for a decade, was looking at the 787 because Airbus would not have its product ready in time. Many observers just smiled. We understand that Iberia irritated Boeing with its insincere dealings because the airline has not been a serious customer for a long time. On top of this, there is the Spanish involvement with EADS through CASA. If Spain gets more A350 work then clearly Airbus will have an even greater advantage. So is Iberia more serious about the 787 now? Can they be believed? There is absolutely no pressure on Boeing to do anything. Pity the unfortunate captive Airbus customer.

Then what happens tomorrow? It looks like 4,000 job cuts in France and 3,500 in Germany. Making matters worse, the A350 wing work is likely to be given to Germany. This means Spain gets a smaller (as yet undecided) share. Moreover, if Mr. Gallois resigns (possibly as early as tomorrow but maybe in 2-3 weeks) then Airbus becomes headless again for a while. How does this make a captive Airbus feel?

It must be clear to national interests that at some stage "national" airlines cannot be held to ransom forever. Think about Aeroflot; here is another case of a 787 customer that had to switch to the A350 because of "national" interests. Boeing is simply not as hungry for 787 orders from the likes of Iberia and Aeroflot – though they would likely deny this. As time progresses Airbus' loyal customers must gnash their teeth in frustration and watch any hope of an equivalent deal from Boeing disappear in the clouds; never to return. Airbus is giving its loyal customers major heartburn and it is going to get worse. Every shakeup at Airbus is delaying the A350 even more. Europe's politicians won't allow the shakeups to stop.

At this stage, Airbus needs' are greater than fresh capital. They need time and there is not much available. Mr. Gallois possible resignation seems a perfectly rational thing to do. Who would want his job? And customers stew as they watch angry workers who should be busy building planes. What a mess.

Airbus' captive customers in play? That's too bad.

As we enter the nasty phase of Airbus' adjustment process, one needs to look beyond the strikes which will start before the weekend. All the noise in the streets of France and Germany will detract from what is really important – customer perception. Airbus has many loyal customers that are going to watch the TV news with great feelings of discomfort.

If the news last year was rough, it may be getting rougher going forward. Whereas the news last year was essentially mea culpas the coming news will be of frustrated workers who managed to keep quiet up to now. Every worker on the street means one less working on Airbus' valuable backlog. Readers should recall how the images of striking Boeing workers looked but a few years ago. It was a horrible time for Boeing and as bad for its customers.

A good example of a "captive" Airbus customer is Iberia. Last December Bloomberg said the airline, a loyal Airbus customer for a decade, was looking at the 787 because Airbus would not have its product ready in time. Many observers just smiled. We understand that Iberia irritated Boeing with its insincere dealings because the airline has not been a serious customer for a long time. On top of this, there is the Spanish involvement with EADS through CASA. If Spain gets more A350 work then clearly Airbus will have an even greater advantage. So is Iberia more serious about the 787 now? Can they be believed? There is absolutely no pressure on Boeing to do anything. Pity the unfortunate captive Airbus customer.

Then what happens tomorrow? It looks like 4,000 job cuts in France and 3,500 in Germany. Making matters worse, the A350 wing work is likely to be given to Germany. This means Spain gets a smaller (as yet undecided) share. Moreover, if Mr. Gallois resigns (possibly as early as tomorrow but maybe in 2-3 weeks) then Airbus becomes headless again for a while. How does this make a captive Airbus feel?

It must be clear to national interests that at some stage "national" airlines cannot be held to ransom forever. Think about Aeroflot; here is another case of a 787 customer that had to switch to the A350 because of "national" interests. Boeing is simply not as hungry for 787 orders from the likes of Iberia and Aeroflot – though they would likely deny this. As time progresses Airbus' loyal customers must gnash their teeth in frustration and watch any hope of an equivalent deal from Boeing disappear in the clouds; never to return. Airbus is giving its loyal customers major heartburn and it is going to get worse. Every shakeup at Airbus is delaying the A350 even more. Europe's politicians won't allow the shakeups to stop.

At this stage, Airbus needs' are greater than fresh capital. They need time and there is not much available. Mr. Gallois possible resignation seems a perfectly rational thing to do. Who would want his job? And customers stew as they watch angry workers who should be busy building planes. What a mess.

Near collision at Ben Gurion

A report out says an El-Al plane almost collided with an Iberia plane while preparing to land in Ben Gurion airport Thursday afternoon. Witnesses told Ynet that the two planes approached the same runway from difference directions, and upon noticing each other, veered off course. A senior El-Al official stated that Iberia was at fault and demanded a formal investigation. The Airport Authority said it was looking into the incident.

El Al blames Iberia? How about blaming ATC? Pilots go where they are told by ATC. Having seen TLV's airport used to land and take off in opposite directions, we have always marveled at how there are not more 'incidents".

Could this somehow be related to the way Israeli's write (right to left) and others write (left to right)? [Before you get offended - its a joke]

Near collision at Ben Gurion

A report out says an El-Al plane almost collided with an Iberia plane while preparing to land in Ben Gurion airport Thursday afternoon. Witnesses told Ynet that the two planes approached the same runway from difference directions, and upon noticing each other, veered off course. A senior El-Al official stated that Iberia was at fault and demanded a formal investigation. The Airport Authority said it was looking into the incident.

El Al blames Iberia? How about blaming ATC? Pilots go where they are told by ATC. Having seen TLV's airport used to land and take off in opposite directions, we have always marveled at how there are not more 'incidents".

Could this somehow be related to the way Israeli's write (right to left) and others write (left to right)? [Before you get offended - its a joke]