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Iran learns from Syria – but maybe the wrong lesson

Today Iran's deputy air force commander said the air force had drawn up plans to bomb Israel in the event Iran was attacked by the Israelis. "We have drawn up a plan to strike back at Israel with our bombers if this regime (Israel) makes a silly mistake," deputy air force chief, Gen. Mohammad Alavi was quoted as telling Fars in an interview.

After the Israelis overflew Syrian air space and apparently attacked a target near the Syrian eastern border, Iran is clearly getting very nervous. This is especially the case since the Israeli planes had to have USAF codes so that neither would attack each other by mistake. The ability of the Israeli air force to accomplish surprise attacks is legendary in the Middle East (the recent mess in Lebanon is an exception).

Threats by the Iranians must have Israeli pilots rubbing their hands in glee. If Israel were to attack Iran's nuclear related targets it would be sudden and unexpected. Retaliation would most likely consist of missile strikes back at Israel – we don't think the Iranian air force would dare go against the Israeli air force and face certain devastation.

For the Iranians this bluster shows weakness. The Israelis would take out any Iranian aircraft in short order – that is if they could even get by the USAF planes that would see them coming first and no doubt warn Israel. The Iranians would have to run a gauntlet of American and Israeli pilots – what chances do you give the Iranians?

If they shoot medium range missiles at Israel, the latter's Green Pine radar would be ready and likely shoot down most of the incoming missiles plus the US supplied anti-missile systems would be activated. Looks like a series of bad choices for the Mullahs.

Perhaps the Mullahs might want to consider a far better defense of their country. Get rid of Ahmadinejad – that should take the country off the target list. Leaving him in place seems to be doing the Mullahs easy street life no long term good.

If an attack occurs – and its getting closer with even the French talking about it (can you believe it?) – there will almost certainly be a up rising among the mostly young and frustrated Iranians to overthrow the regime. Yes, for the Mullahs to keep their easy life styles, it would be better by far to find a new president.

Iran learns from Syria – but maybe the wrong lesson

Today Iran's deputy air force commander said the air force had drawn up plans to bomb Israel in the event Iran was attacked by the Israelis. "We have drawn up a plan to strike back at Israel with our bombers if this regime (Israel) makes a silly mistake," deputy air force chief, Gen. Mohammad Alavi was quoted as telling Fars in an interview.

After the Israelis overflew Syrian air space and apparently attacked a target near the Syrian eastern border, Iran is clearly getting very nervous. This is especially the case since the Israeli planes had to have USAF codes so that neither would attack each other by mistake. The ability of the Israeli air force to accomplish surprise attacks is legendary in the Middle East (the recent mess in Lebanon is an exception).

Threats by the Iranians must have Israeli pilots rubbing their hands in glee. If Israel were to attack Iran's nuclear related targets it would be sudden and unexpected. Retaliation would most likely consist of missile strikes back at Israel – we don't think the Iranian air force would dare go against the Israeli air force and face certain devastation.

For the Iranians this bluster shows weakness. The Israelis would take out any Iranian aircraft in short order – that is if they could even get by the USAF planes that would see them coming first and no doubt warn Israel. The Iranians would have to run a gauntlet of American and Israeli pilots – what chances do you give the Iranians?

If they shoot medium range missiles at Israel, the latter's Green Pine radar would be ready and likely shoot down most of the incoming missiles plus the US supplied anti-missile systems would be activated. Looks like a series of bad choices for the Mullahs.

Perhaps the Mullahs might want to consider a far better defense of their country. Get rid of Ahmadinejad – that should take the country off the target list. Leaving him in place seems to be doing the Mullahs easy street life no long term good.

If an attack occurs – and its getting closer with even the French talking about it (can you believe it?) – there will almost certainly be a up rising among the mostly young and frustrated Iranians to overthrow the regime. Yes, for the Mullahs to keep their easy life styles, it would be better by far to find a new president.